Profitable Parlays - Fact Or Fiction?

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There are countless 'handicapping services' available of providing people with parlays. They'll tout win rates similar to probably the most impressive straight wager cappers. Needless to say, so as to they make reference to money line parlays as 'safe' bets. On several sites you may even have the privilege of dealing with some type of royalty in neuro-scientific parlay wagering. Regrettably, thousands will be fooled by this fiction again this football season.

The truth is that exotic wagers keep sports books in business. Next time you are in Vegas have a look at the discarded tickets you see spread everywhere. It's safe to assume that you will find the majority of these losers are made of such bets positioned on both sports and racing. Of all the sucker bets open to sports bettors, the parlay is king. Bettors are lured in by the promise of an enormous payout while disregarding the truth that there is no reasonable expectation of any return on the investment.

The house edge on a standard straight wager at -110 is 4.5%. Weighed against many table games this is really a fairly raised percentage. Plenty of table games and slots provide a better value for the average bettor placing a random wager. However, we all know that betting on sports isn't anything like throwing a couple of dice at the trunk wall.

Chance is important in everything the house has to offer. Additionally, there are steps which might be taken to decrease the edge in just about every game. Nowhere in the casino are elements such as for example skill and preparation more useful than the sports book. The edge on a straight wager can be reversed in the bettors favor by utilizing statistics and expertise in an activity. However, a double digit house edge can't ever be overcome in the end.


# of Teams | Actual Odds | Typical Payout | House Edge

2 | 3/1 | 2.6/1 | 10.00%

3 | 7/1 | 6/1 | 12.50%

4 | 15/1 | 10/1 | 31.25%

5 | 31/1 | 20/1 | 34.38%

6 | 63/1 | 40/1 | 35.94%

7 | 127/1 | 75/1 | 40.63%

8 | 255/1 | 150/1 | 41.02%

9 | 511/1 | 300/1 | 41.21%

10 | 1023/1 | 700/1 | 31.54%

As you can see every parlay it is possible to possibly bet has a whopping 10% house edge or better. Such casino advantages are more in line with keno, plus they are equally impossible to overcome in the end. There is no mystery surrounding the world of parlays. Bettors are drawn to risking handful of money for large payouts. The games which are frequently played in the casino are slots that offer thousands and even millions in progressive jackpots. The mentality of these bettors is 'Go big, or go back home.' The casino is actually happy to oblige as millions of bettors go back home with nothing within their pockets every year.

It is fair to assume that the largest amount of losing bets that a book accepts are exotic wagers of add up to or double the house minimum. For the reason that most bettors don't have a meaningful bankroll set aside for sports betting. Since they don't believe they are able to make any real cash by placing $25-50 on several games per week they continue taking parlays for $20 or less. Using this method they essentially ensure a significant loss by the end of the growing season. Meanwhile, should they only placed straight wagers at that same level they might limit their potential losses to some units at most.

Many bettors assume that because they are keeping how big is their bets low they are not taking on a substantial risk. This analysis is flawed since it ignores several factors. Most of all, it is my experience that a lot of bettors usually do not place just one parlay weekly. In football this means a minimum of 34 parlays are placed during the regular season. In baseball that number can simply exceed 100. With a minimal unit bet that is still a dangerous amount of wagers to place with this type of high house edge. For instance, when you are placing only 5 team parlays your expectation ought to be to lose about $35 for each $100 you wager. As the number of bets you place increases it really is inevitable that you'll hit that $100 mark several times over.

Using may88 casino as a side bet will most likely result in upping your losses or erasing any profits you were able to make on straight wagers. In 2009 2009, I had litigant who broke even after increasing his bankroll by 45% using my picks. He were able to do that by placing 'small' side bets including parlays, reverses, and teasers. This is an expensive lesson to learn especially when you take into account I issued a similar warning to him.

If you are likely to follow his lead and continue using parlays I've a few pointers that may help you in the end. First of all, the very best value of most parlays is actually the three team parlay. The difference between your house edge on a 2 & 3 teamer is insignificant, however the payout is more than twice as much. If you take a look at the graph you need to understand why I would never bet a parlay of 4 teams or more. However, if you're going to make such an investment here are two useful tips:

If you are going to bet a 4 or 5 5 team parlay, always ensure it is 6 or even 10. The difference between your house edge to include 1 or 2 2 more teams is within 5 percentage points and the payout is significantly higher for both options. The home edge on a 10 teamer is virtually exactly like a 4 team parlay, but the actual probability of hitting it are over 1,000 to at least one 1.
If you are going to throw your cash away chasing huge payouts on 7, 8, and 9 team parlays then just bet the 10 teamer. The House edge is approximately 10 points lower than all three of these bets and it typically pays about 700/1.

Setting reasonable goals and being patient while attempting to achieve them is the sign of a profitable professional bettor. Greed must be kept in check in order to be successful. In this regard, every bettor has two options. You can chase high returns while assuming a huge amount of unnecessary risk. Or it is possible to minimize your contact with several units while maintaining an acceptable expectation to increase your bankroll by 50%...The decision is yours.
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