Profitable Parlays - Fact Or Fiction?

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There are countless 'handicapping services' in the business of providing people who have parlays. They'll tout win rates much like many of the most impressive straight wager cappers. Needless to say, so as to they refer to money line parlays as 'safe' bets. On a number of these sites you may have the privilege of dealing with some sort of royalty in the field of parlay wagering. Regrettably, thousands will undoubtedly be fooled by this fiction again this football season.

The truth is that exotic wagers keep sports books running a business. Next time you're in Vegas check out the discarded tickets you see spread all over the place. It's safe to assume that might be the majority of these losers are made up of such bets positioned on both sports and racing. Of all the sucker bets available to sports bettors, the parlay is king. Bettors are lured in by the promise of an enormous payout while disregarding the point that there is no reasonable expectation of any return on investment.

The home edge on a typical straight wager at -110 is 4.5%. Weighed against many table games this is really a fairly high percentage. Plenty of table games and slots offer a better value for the average bettor placing a random wager. However, we all know that betting on sports isn't anything like throwing some dice at the trunk wall.

Chance plays a role in everything the house has to offer. Additionally, there are steps that can be taken to decrease the edge in only about every game. Nowhere in the casino are elements such as skill and preparation more useful compared to the sports book. The edge on a straight wager could be reversed in the bettors favor through the use of statistics and expertise in a sport. However, a double digit house edge can never be overcome in the long term.

# of Teams | Actual Odds | Typical Payout | House Edge

2 | 3/1 | 2.6/1 | 10.00%

3 | 7/1 | 6/1 | 12.50%

4 | 15/1 | 10/1 | 31.25%

5 | 31/1 | 20/1 | 34.38%

6 | 63/1 | 40/1 | 35.94%

7 | 127/1 | 75/1 | 40.63%

8 | 255/1 | 150/1 | 41.02%

9 | 511/1 | 300/1 | 41.21%

10 | 1023/1 | 700/1 | 31.54%

As you can see every parlay you can possibly bet has a whopping 10% house edge or better. Such casino advantages are more consistent with keno, and they are equally impossible to overcome over time. There is no mystery surrounding the world of parlays. Bettors are attracted to risking a small amount of money for large payouts. The games which are most often played in the casino are slots that offer thousands or even millions in progressive jackpots. The mentality of the bettors is 'Go big, or go home.' The casino is clearly happy to oblige as millions of bettors go back home with nothing in their pockets every year.

It really is fair to assume that the largest amount of losing bets that a book accepts are exotic wagers of equal to or double the house minimum. This is because most bettors do not have a meaningful bankroll set aside for sports betting. Given that they don't believe they are able to make any real money by placing $25-50 on a few games weekly they continue taking parlays for $20 or less. By doing this they essentially ensure a significant loss by the finish of the growing season. Meanwhile, should they only placed straight wagers at that same level they would limit their potential losses to a few units at most.

Many bettors assume that because they're keeping how big is their bets low they're not taking on a significant risk. This analysis is flawed since it ignores several factors. Most importantly, it really is my experience that most bettors usually do not place just one single parlay per week. In football this means a minimum of 34 parlays are placed through the regular season. In baseball that number can simply exceed 100. With a minimal unit bet this is still a dangerous number of wagers to place with this type of high house edge. For example, in case you are placing only 5 team parlays your expectation should be to lose about $35 for each $100 you wager. As the amount of bets you place increases it really is inevitable that you will hit that $100 mark several times over.


Using parlays as a side bet will most likely result in increasing your losses or erasing any profits you managed to make on straight wagers. In '09 2009, I had litigant who broke even after increasing his bankroll by 45% using my picks. He were able to do this by placing 'small' side bets including parlays, reverses, and teasers. That is an expensive lesson to learn especially when you take into account I issued a similar warning to him.

If you are going to follow his lead and continue using parlays I've a few pointers that will help you in the long run. First of all, the very best value of all parlays is clearly the three team parlay. The difference between the house edge on a 2 & 3 teamer is insignificant, but the payout is a lot more than twice as much. If you take a glance at the graph you need to understand why I'd never bet a parlay of 4 teams or more. However, if you're going to make such an investment listed below are two useful tips:

If you are likely to bet a four or five 5 team parlay, always ensure it is 6 or even 10. The difference between your house edge to add one or two 2 more teams is at 5 percentage points and the payout is significantly higher for both options. The home edge on a 10 teamer is virtually exactly like a 4 team parlay, however the actual probability of hitting it are over 1,000 to at least one 1.
If you are likely to throw your cash away chasing huge payouts on 7, 8, and 9 team parlays then just bet the 10 teamer. THE HOME edge is about 10 points lower than all three of those bets also it typically pays about 700/1.

Setting reasonable goals and being patient while attempting to achieve them is the sign of a profitable professional bettor. Greed should be kept in check to become successful. In this regard, every bettor has two options. You can chase high returns while assuming plenty of unnecessary risk. Or Onbet nhà cái can minimize your contact with several units while maintaining a reasonable expectation to increase your bankroll by 50%...The decision is yours.
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