Profitable Parlays - Fact Or Fiction?

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There are countless 'handicapping services' in the business of providing people with parlays. They will tout win rates similar to many of the most impressive straight wager cappers. Needless to say, so as to they refer to money line parlays as 'safe' bets. On a number of these sites you may even have the privilege of working with some type of royalty in the field of parlay wagering. Regrettably, thousands will undoubtedly be fooled by this fiction again this football season.


The fact is that exotic wagers keep sports books in business. Next time you are in Vegas take a look at the discarded tickets you see spread everywhere. It's safe to assume that might be nearly all these losers are made up of such bets placed on both sports and racing. Of all the sucker bets available to sports bettors, the parlay is king. Bettors are lured in by the promise of an enormous payout while disregarding the point that there is absolutely no reasonable expectation of any return on the investment.

The home edge on a typical straight wager at -110 is 4.5%. Compared with many table games this is really a fairly high percentage. Lots of table games and slots offer a better value for the average bettor placing a random wager. However, everybody knows that betting on sports isn't anything like throwing a pair of dice at the trunk wall.

Chance plays a role in everything the house has to offer. There are also steps which can be taken to reduce the edge in just about every game. Nowhere in the casino are elements such as for example skill and preparation more useful than the sports book. The edge on a straight wager can be reversed in the bettors favor by utilizing statistics and expertise in an activity. However, a double digit house edge can never be overcome in the long run.

# of Teams | Actual Odds | Typical Payout | House Edge

2 | 3/1 | 2.6/1 | 10.00%

3 | 7/1 | 6/1 | 12.50%

4 | 15/1 | 10/1 | 31.25%

5 | 31/1 | 20/1 | 34.38%

6 | 63/1 | 40/1 | 35.94%

7 | 127/1 | 75/1 | 40.63%

8 | 255/1 | 150/1 | 41.02%

9 | 511/1 | 300/1 | 41.21%

10 | 1023/1 | 700/1 | 31.54%

As you can see every parlay you can possibly bet includes a whopping 10% house edge or better. Such casino advantages are more consistent with keno, plus they are equally impossible to overcome in the long run. There is no mystery surrounding the planet of parlays. Bettors are attracted to risking handful of money for large payouts. The games that are frequently played in the casino are slots that offer thousands as well as millions in progressive jackpots. The mentality of these bettors is 'Go big, or go home.' The casino is actually pleased to oblige as millions of bettors go home with nothing within their pockets every year.

It really is fair to assume that the biggest amount of losing bets a book accepts are exotic wagers of add up to or double the house minimum. Simply because most bettors don't have a meaningful bankroll set aside for sports betting. Given that they don't believe they are able to make any real cash by placing $25-50 on a few games per week they continue taking parlays for $20 or less. By doing this they essentially ensure a substantial loss by the finish of the growing season. Meanwhile, should they only placed straight wagers at that same level they might limit their potential losses to some units at most.

Many bettors assume that because they're keeping how big is their bets low they're not taking on a substantial risk. This analysis is flawed because it ignores several factors. Most importantly, it is my experience that a lot of bettors do not place just one parlay per week. In football this means at the least 34 parlays are put through the regular season. In baseball that number can easily exceed 100. With a minimal unit bet that is still a dangerous amount of wagers to put with such a high house edge. For instance, if you are placing only 5 team parlays your expectation should be to lose about $35 for each and every $100 you wager. As the amount of bets you place increases it is inevitable that you'll hit that $100 mark several times over.

Using parlays as a side bet will usually result in upping your losses or erasing any profits you were able to make on straight wagers. In 2009 2009, I had a client who broke even with increasing his bankroll by 45% using my picks. He were able to do that by placing 'small' side bets including parlays, reverses, and teasers. This is an expensive lesson to understand especially when you consider I issued an identical warning to him.

If you are likely to follow his lead and continue using parlays I have a few pointers that will help over time. First of all, the best value of all parlays is clearly the three team parlay. The difference between the house edge on a 2 & 3 teamer is insignificant, however the payout is more than twice as much. If you take a look at the graph you should understand why I'd never bet a parlay of 4 teams or even more. However, if you're going to make such an investment here are two useful tips:

If you are likely to bet a four or five 5 team parlay, always make it 6 or even 10. The difference between your house edge to add 1 or 2 2 more teams is within 5 percentage points and the payout is significantly higher for both options. The home edge on a 10 teamer is virtually the same as a 4 team parlay, however the actual odds of hitting it are over 1,000 to 1 1.
If you are going to throw your money away chasing huge payouts on 7, 8, and 9 team parlays then just bet the 10 teamer. The House edge is approximately 10 points less than all three of those bets also it typically pays about 700/1.

Setting reasonable goals and being patient while attempting to achieve them is the sign of a profitable professional bettor. Greed must be kept in check in order to be successful. In this regard, every bettor has two options. It is possible to chase high returns while assuming plenty of unnecessary risk. Or Đăng ký New88 can minimize your contact with a few units while maintaining a reasonable expectation to improve your bankroll by 50%...The choice is yours.
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