Profitable Parlays - Fact Or Fiction?

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There are countless 'handicapping services' in the business of providing people with parlays. They will tout win rates much like some of the most impressive straight wager cappers. Needless to say, so as to they make reference to money line parlays as 'safe' bets. On many of these sites you may even have the privilege of working with some type of royalty in the field of parlay wagering. Regrettably, thousands will be fooled by this fiction again this football season.


The fact is that exotic wagers keep sports books running a business. Next time you're in Vegas take a look at the discarded tickets you see spread everywhere. It's safe to assume that you will find nearly all these losers are made up of such bets positioned on both sports and racing. Of all the sucker bets open to sports bettors, the parlay is king. Bettors are lured in by the promise of a huge payout while disregarding the fact that there is no reasonable expectation of any return on the investment.

The house edge on a typical straight wager at -110 is 4.5%. Compared with many table games this is actually a fairly high percentage. Many table games and slots offer a better value for the common bettor placing a random wager. However, everybody knows that betting on sports isn't anything like throwing a pair of dice at the trunk wall.

Chance plays a role in everything the house provides. There are also steps that could be taken to reduce the edge in just about every game. Nowhere in the casino are elements such as for example skill and preparation more useful than the sports book. The edge on a straight wager could be reversed in the bettors favor through the use of statistics and expertise in an activity. However, a double digit house edge can't ever be overcome in the end.

# of Teams | Actual Odds | Typical Payout | House Edge

2 | 3/1 | 2.6/1 | 10.00%

3 | 7/1 | 6/1 | 12.50%

4 | 15/1 | 10/1 | 31.25%

5 | 31/1 | 20/1 | 34.38%

6 | 63/1 | 40/1 | 35.94%

7 | 127/1 | 75/1 | 40.63%

8 | 255/1 | 150/1 | 41.02%

9 | 511/1 | 300/1 | 41.21%

10 | 1023/1 | 700/1 | 31.54%

As you can see every parlay you can possibly bet has a whopping 10% house edge or better. Such casino advantages are more consistent with keno, plus they are equally impossible to overcome in the long term. There is absolutely nhà cái bongbet surrounding the world of parlays. Bettors are attracted to risking handful of money for large payouts. The games which are frequently played in the casino are slots that offer thousands or even millions in progressive jackpots. The mentality of these bettors is 'Go big, or go home.' The casino is actually pleased to oblige as an incredible number of bettors go back home with nothing within their pockets every year.

It is fair to assume that the biggest amount of losing bets that a book accepts are exotic wagers of equal to or double the home minimum. This is because most bettors don't have a meaningful bankroll reserve for sports betting. Since they don't believe they are able to make any real cash by placing $25-50 on a few games per week they continue taking parlays for $20 or less. By doing this they essentially ensure a significant loss by the finish of the season. Meanwhile, if they only placed straight wagers at that same level they might limit their potential losses to a few units at most.

Many bettors assume that because they're keeping the size of their bets low they are not taking on a significant risk. This analysis is flawed since it ignores several factors. Most importantly, it is my experience that most bettors usually do not place just one single parlay per week. In football this means a minimum of 34 parlays are put during the regular season. In baseball that number can easily exceed 100. With a low unit bet that is still a dangerous number of wagers to place with such a high house edge. For example, should you be placing only 5 team parlays your expectation ought to be to lose about $35 for each and every $100 you wager. Because the number of bets you place increases it is inevitable that you will hit that $100 mark several times over.

Using parlays as a side bet will usually result in increasing your losses or erasing any profits you managed to make on straight wagers. In 2009 2009, I had litigant who broke even after increasing his bankroll by 45% using my picks. He were able to do this by placing 'small' side bets including parlays, reverses, and teasers. That is an expensive lesson to learn especially when you take into account I issued an identical warning to him.

If you are likely to follow his lead and continue using parlays I have a few pointers that may help you in the long term. First of all, the very best value of most parlays is actually the three team parlay. The difference between the house edge on a 2 & 3 teamer is insignificant, however the payout is more than twice as much. Invest the a look at the graph you need to understand why I would never bet a parlay of 4 teams or more. However, if you are going to make such an investment listed below are two useful tips:

If you are likely to bet a 4 or 5 5 team parlay, always ensure it is 6 as well as 10. The difference between your house edge to add one or two 2 more teams is at 5 percentage points and the payout is significantly higher for both options. The home edge on a 10 teamer is virtually the same as a 4 team parlay, however the actual probability of hitting it are over 1,000 to at least one 1.
If you are likely to throw your money away chasing huge payouts on 7, 8, and 9 team parlays then just bet the 10 teamer. The House edge is about 10 points less than all three of those bets and it typically pays about 700/1.

Setting reasonable goals and being patient while attempting to achieve them is the sign of a profitable professional bettor. Greed should be kept in check in order to be successful. In this regard, every bettor has two options. It is possible to chase high returns while assuming plenty of unnecessary risk. Or you can minimize your contact with several units while maintaining an acceptable expectation to increase your bankroll by 50%...The choice is yours.
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