The Art of Outright Tennis Betting_ Lesson 5: The Surface

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One of the great advantages of tennis, in terms of betting as much as viewing, is the use of different surfaces at different ATP Tour events.


In general, 65 events are divided between clay, clay, and hard courts. The majority (37) are played on the faster, harder surfaces with clay (21) the next most widely used and the grass court season (6) now limited to a handful of events in June/July.


This often highlights differences in skill, performance, and sometimes mismatches between the players. For example, if a natural clay-courter plays an opponent considered as a 'hard-court player' on a slow dirt surface then we all know who is going to win. But, if you put the same players on a faster, bumpier surface, it's the hard-court performer who wins.


These situations are easy to exploit in match betting, but they can also be used when we look at tournament betting.


Bookmakers will often give undue credits to players who are highly ranked, recent tour winners, or players in good condition. This doesn't always consider the surface being used. So, you might be in excellent form on clay, but this week we're on grass!


These situations can be identified by savvy tennis traders. They will be able to identify players who aren’t suitable for the surface and locate those who can be expected significantly to improve their performance (due to the type of court being used).


Example: Lleyton Hewitt (Halle 2010) WON 14/1


Hewitt's career record (537:188) shows a 74% winning ratio on all surfaces. However, concentrate purely on grass and his 98:23 record actually shows the Aussie winning 81% of his matches. This was Hewitt's most preferred surface for the Gerry Weber German event. He'd also played in the final of six grass court tournaments prior to this event ... and won all six. In moderate form coming into the grass court season, a return to the 'green stuff' saw him land a 7th title on the surface at what was a hugely inflated price.


Remember, therefore, to give due credit to a player's form on the surface being used and not to the success they may have enjoyed on another type of court. While players may be able to transfer their form to one another, there will always be significant differences between top players, and so you can exploit them. http://marseille-verlag.com/safe-online-payment-methods/
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